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Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Markets open higher, metals shine

Markets edged higher in opening trades following firm global cues as expectations increased that Greece would avoid a default. The S&P CNX Nifty gained 30 points, at 5,575 and the benchmark Sensex added 105 points, at 18,598.

Asian markets were trading mostly higher in the morning session on improved investor sentiment. The European Union and International Monetary Fund approved 78 billion euros or $111.4 billion in additional austerity and accelerated asset sale to help Greece differ bail out. Resource related shares edged higher after commodity prices surged overnight. Japan's Nikkei Stock Average was up 1% led by exporter shares. Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.3%, but Shanghai Composite bucked trend and edged lower by 0.3%.

Also government's decision last week to raise prices of diesel and cooking gas has increased optimism among the investors that the government may go ahead with its pending reforms giving fillip to the markets. Kishor Ostwal, CMD from CNI Research said that if 5,500 will be maintained until expiry than markets may rise 10% in the next couple of months.

Rollovers on Nifty were in line with previous expiry. Emkay in the morning note said rollovers stood at 40.9% as against 37.2% seen two days before expiry in May. The marginal increase in rollover is largely on account of a decrease in base open interest said Emkay.
Among the sectoral pack metal shares were leading the gains following firm international prices. Among the prominent gainers were Welcorp, up 3.4%, Jindal Saw climbed 3% and Sesa Goa was up 1.5%.

BSE IT shares were trading higher; the index was up 1%. Infosys advanced 1.2%, TCS gained 0.9% and Patni Computers was up 0.7%.

Top gainers on the Sensex were Sterlite, up 2.1%, BHEL added 1.6% and Jindal Steel was up 1.4%. Top losers Bajaj Auto slipped 1.8%, L&T declined 0.2% and ONGC was down 0.2%.

From the broader markets midcap index added 0.5% and smallcap index gained 0.7%.

In the broader market 988 stocks advanced for 362 stocks which declined.

NSE gets Sebi nod to launch S&P 500, Dow Jones futures

Rupee-denominated contracts will be traded from 9 am to 5 pm.

The National Stock Exchange (NSE) has got regulatory approval to launch futures contracts on benchmark US indices S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), paving the way for Indian investors to bet on the world’s most influential stock market.India’s leading stock exchange also plans to seek approval from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) to launch options contracts on these two US indices.
The rupee-denominated futures contracts, which are going to be launched on NSE soon, will be traded from 9 am to 5 pm from Monday to Friday. This will be the first time an Indian stock exchange will utilise the entire permitted market hours for an equity derivatives product. At present, trading in the cash and derivatives segments of both NSE and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) happens between 9 am and 3:30 pm.

“The S&P and Dow Jones industrial average have displayed historic resilience in holistically capturing the movements of the US market. We hope that bringing them to an Indian trading platform on NSE will help Indian investors diversify their portfolio and take exposure to the US markets, without taking any foreign currency risk, and at low cost," a spokesperson for NSE said.

NSE will launch four quarterly futures contracts on S&P 500 and DJIA having expires in March, June, September and December. The expiry date for these contracts will be the third Friday of the respective contract month.

“These products make a lot more sense for domestic investors than foreign institutional investors,” said T S Harihar, co-head of institutional derivatives at ICICI Securities. “Even though Indian investors can invest up to $200,000 a year to buy shares in overseas markets, there are too many restrictions in doing that. It will be easy for domestic investors to bet on US markets through derivatives on S&P 500 and Dow,” he added.

Apart from the maximum investment limit per year, Indian investors are only allowed to invest in the cash market in overseas stock exchanges at present, and not in derivatives.

The S&P 500 index includes 500 leading companies of the US economy, capturing 75 per cent coverage of US equities. The DJIA index comprises 30 blue-chip US companies and represents about 28 per cent of the float-adjusted market capitalisation of the US stock market.

“These instruments will give global diversification to Indian investors. In principle, they will be useful to almost all domestic investors. But, of course, the products have to be liquid and there needs to be depth,” said Jayanth Varma, professor of finance at Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad. “It may take time for these products to become popular in India and for people to figure out where they fit into their asset allocation,” he added.

NSE is likely to appoint market makers, who provide both bid and ask quotes, for bringing liquidity in S&P 500 and DJIA derivatives on its platform. Early this month, Sebi allowed stock exchanges to use market makers in the equity derivatives segment. In March 2010, NSE had signed a cross-listing agreement with the CME group, which gave it exclusive rights to launch futures contracts on S&P 500 and DJIA in India. Following the cross-listing arrangement, the CME group launched dollar-denominated E-Mini and E-Micro futures contracts on NSE Nifty on the CME Globex electronic trading platform in July 2010.

PTC to benefit from its high growth, low risk model

Growth in power trading volumes due to capacity addition will benefit the Power Trading Corporation (PTC). The monetisation of its investments in the second half of 2011 will further unlock value. In the past two years, PTC's trading volumes have grown from 10,000 million units to 24,500 million units at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35%. This has helped PTC's topline to grow at a CAGR of 33% to Rs 9,063 crore in FY11.

Further, its operating margins have also improved by 70 basis points to 2.5%, aided by the change in trading margins as per CERC regulations last year. As a result, the company's earnings grew by 50% in the past one year to Rs 140 crore.

For short-term trades, the margin is fixed at maximum 0.07 for electricity traded at higher than 3 per unit and 0.04 for electricity traded at lower than 3 per unit. For long-term trades, there is no margin cap as they are generally traded at a lower price than short-term trades. For PTC, long-term trade accounted for only 5% in FY11, which mainly is linked to its 2,100 MW projects. By FY13, the company will be adding another 6,000 MW, which will increase the volume. Given this, plus the overall capacity growth in the power sector, will allow the company to sustain is growth momentum.

Its 60% subsidiary PTC Financial Services will get around 160 crore on monetisation of its stake in Indian Energy Exchange and Ind Bharat project, which will fetch a pre-tax IRR of 76% and 30%. This will further unlock value for PTC. PTC's return on equity has gradually improved in two years to 6.5%. The stock has corrected by 40% in past six months. It is currently trading at price to earning multiple of 16, which is below its three year average multiple of 28.4. Given the high growth and low risk business model, the company provides a safe investment opportunity in the power sector, where most of the other companies are struggling with high fuel cost and low merchant tariffs.

US, India vow to deepen economic engagement

WASHINGTON: India and US on Tuesday vowed to deepen bilateral and multilateral engagement in order to fully capitalise on economic opportunities in the two countries.

"Through stronger collaboration and coordination amongst our economic and financial policymakers, this partnership has sought to deepen US-India bilateral and multilateral engagement in order to fully capitalize on the wealth of economic opportunities between our two nations," a joint statement issued at the end of the conclusion of second India-US Economic and Financial Partnership said.

Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee attended the meeting with US treasury secretary Timothy.

In their joint statement, Geithner and Mukherjee said they discussed the challenges that both economies face in ensuring a strong recovery and price stability in the short term, as well as the range of policies necessary to reach growth at their full potential domestically.

"The United States is committed to making the investments in technology, skills, and infrastructure necessary to maintain and enhance US competitiveness in the global economy. India intends to take steps to marshal private and public saving to meet the infrastructure needs of a rapidly growing Indian economy," it said.

"The United States and India will work together to expand trade and investment links between our two economies, and to develop and strengthen our financial systems. India and the United States will also work together in the G20 on an effective mutual assessment process to bring about strong, sustained, and balanced global growth," the statement said.

Poor worst affected by price rise

NEW DELHI: The recent rise in income levels has helped the middle class cope with higher prices, but the poor have been adversely affected. What also helped the middle class and the upper middle class was the lower spend on food as a proportion of their total income. In some segments, such as consumer durables, there has been a decrease in prices.
"The middle class population spends a bulk of their income on discretionary items like TV, oven etc and therefore benefit from the price decline across these categories... Given that poor households spend (a) higher proportion of their income on food related articles, WPI inflation understates inflation faced by poor households," a study by rating agency Crisil said.
And, the evidence is before us. Several poor households had to give up on consuming dal, when prices rose, and have had to cut down on milk purchases given the rise in prices.
"It suggests that the government is pro-rich and anti-poor," said a top government economist.
Economists, however, did not agree with the report completely. "I would be skeptical about these numbers. We would have to see how these have been modeled. Savings-consumption trade-off depends on a variety of factors," said Pronab Sen, senior advisor in the Planning Commission and the former Chief Statistician of India.

Monday, June 27, 2011

Larsen May Seek Partner for Electrical Business to Add Products

By Ganesh Nagarajan - Jun 27, 2011

Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (LT), India’s biggest engineering company, may seek a partner for its electrical and automation business to expand its portfolio of switchgears, energy meters and control systems.

“By entering into a joint venture with a foreign company, we enhance our product range,” K.V. Rangaswami, a director on Larsen’s board, said in a June 24 interview in the southern Indian city of Chennai. “A lot can happen once there is a successful partnership.” Some companies have made initial contact, he said without naming them.

Shareholders of the Mumbai-based company last month approved a plan to spin off the division making electrical meters, switchgears and industrial automation products into a separate entity. A foreign partner will be able to tap Larsen’s existing customers, said Rupesh Kumar, an analyst at KR Choksey Shares & Securities Pvt. in Mumbai.

“Demand for electrical equipment in India is very high,” said Kumar, who has a “buy” rating on the stock. “So finding a technology partner is very easy. They can get anybody.”

Chairman A.M. Naik on April 19 denied Larsen had plans to sell its electrical business. The company is in talks to sell its electrical and electronics unit for $3 billion, Reuters reported, citing two people with knowledge of the matter, in April.

Schneider Electric SA and Eaton Corp. were among the possible buyers, Reuters reported.
Plan to Decentralize

Larsen, which has 64 businesses including finance and computer software, plans to split itself into nine units and five subsidiaries to speed decisions and boost growth. This step will help the company focus on each business and simplify its structure, Kumar said.

Negotiations with possible partners may take time, said Rangaswami, who also is president of Larsen’s construction business and is due to retire this month.

Larsen gained 2.7 percent to 1,786.5 rupees at the 3:30 p.m. close in Mumbai yesterday. The stock has declined 9.7 percent this year, compared with a 10.2 percent fall in the benchmark Sensitive Index of the Bombay Stock Exchange.

The electrical and automation business posted a profit before interest and tax of 3.9 billion rupees ($86 million) on revenue of 36.8 billion rupees in the year ended March 31, 2010, according to a company statement on April 6.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ganesh Nagarajan in Chennai at gnagarajan1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Sam Nagarajan at samnagarajan@bloomberg.net
®2011 BLOOMBERG L.P. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Bank of America Sees Overseas Takeovers by India Companies Curbed by Rates

By George Smith Alexander and Ruth David - Jun 26, 2011

Overseas acquisitions by Indian companies may stay subdued in 2011 as the highest interest rates in more than two years deter chief executives from borrowing for expansion, Bank of America Corp. (BAC) said.

At the same time, inbound deals are likely to rise as foreign companies seize on low interest rates in Europe and the U.S. to buy assets in Asia’s second-fastest growing major economy, said Bala Swaminathan, vice chairman of corporate and investment banking at Bank of America’s Indian unit.

Foreign acquisitions of Indian companies are outpacing outbound transactions this year for the first time in at least a decade, after the central bank raised interest rates 10 times since the start of 2010, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The difference in yields between India’s AAA-rated corporate bonds and similar-maturity U.S. notes touched the highest in at least six years earlier this month, according to the data.

“Why would an Indian company want to borrow at a very high interest rate to buy into markets which are not growing?” Swaminathan said in a June 21 interview in Mumbai. “The way interest rates are poised, international companies can borrow at one or two percent and use that money to come and buy into India.”

While India’s economy grew about four times the pace of the U.S. in the quarter through March, the local benchmark stock index has slumped 11 percent this year, narrowing the valuation gap with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. That’s providing added incentive for foreign companies to attempt acquisitions in the nation of 1.2 billion people.
Valuations Fall

Companies on the Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive Index trade at 14.8 times estimated full-year earnings, the lowest level in more than two years, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That compares with 13 times projected profit for the S&P 500.

The value of mergers involving Indian companies has slumped 32 percent this year to $25 billion, according to Bloomberg data. Inbound deals accounted for 62 percent of the total, up from 27 percent in the same period a year earlier, the data show.

Indian corporate owners’ limited ability to reduce their controlling stakes further may deter multibillion-dollar takeovers abroad, Swaminathan said. He predicted most deals could be in the $50 million to $500 million range.

“Expansionary capital, more than anything else, is sentiment-driven and right now the sentiment in corporate India is not very buoyant,” said Swaminathan, who joined Bank of America from Standard Chartered Plc in August last year.

“Discretionary expenditure on expansion is being deferred until such time as there is clarity.”

Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL), controlled by billionaire Mukesh Ambani, sold stakes in 23 oil and gas areas in India to London- based BP Plc in February for $7.2 billion, the biggest inbound transaction in more than four years.

TPG Capital and Carlyle Group are among private equity companies in talks for buying a stake in Reliance Communications Ltd.’s mobile-phone towers unit, three people with knowledge of the matter said earlier this month. Reliance Communications is controlled by Anil Ambani, Mukesh Ambani’s brother.
Financing Support

Indian companies seeking acquisitions are increasingly asking banks to help finance the deals, according to Swaminathan.

“Wherever we are doing a transaction on the buy side, it’s reasonable to expect that if there is leverage in the transaction we will part of the leverage,” he said. Bank of America has “significantly” expanded its balance sheet in India since 2010, Swaminathan added without providing details.

The Charlotte, North Carolina-based lender is boosting staff in investment and corporate banking in India, the executive said, declining to give figures for hiring.

More Indian companies may sell divisions to free up cash for expansion, Swaminathan said. J.B. Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd., based in Mumbai, sold its over-the-counter cough and cold medicine brand in Russia, Doktor Mom, to a unit of Johnson & Johnson in May.

To contact the reporter on this story: George Smith Alexander in Mumbai at galexander11@bloomberg.net Ruth David in Mumbai at rdavid9@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Philip Lagerkranser at lagerkranser@bloomberg.net
®2011 BLOOMBERG L.P. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.